North Texas Mean Green (1-1) vs. Texas State Bobcats (0-2) September 19, 2026 12:00 pm EDT The Line: Texas State Bobcats -142 / North Texas Mean Green 120; Over/Under: 62.5 (Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a North Texas vs Texas State Prediction for this College Football Week 3 matchup on Saturday, September 19 th . Let’s take a look at the prediction for this College Football matchup.
Texas State has a 0-2 record and are coming off a 26-31 home loss against UTSA. They will face Incarnate Word and San Diego State next. Offensively, Texas State averages 16.5 points per game, ranking 127th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 45 points per game, which is 136th. Texas State averages 415 total yards per game (190 passing and 225 rushing), while allowing 457 total yards per game (148 rushing and 309 passing).
Brad Jackson leads Texas State with 342 passing yards with 60.4% completed passes and one touchdown. Torrance Burgess Jr. leads the team in rushing yards with 183, while Kylen Evans has a team-high 6 receptions for 102 receiving yards. Defensively, Jayden Lawton has a team-high 18 total tackles (8 of them solo), while Tymere Jackson leads the team with one sack.
North Texas has a 1-1 record and are coming off a 44-6 home win against UNLV. They will face Houston Christian and Tulsa next. Offensively, North Texas averages 30 points per game, ranking 77th in the nation, while defensively, they allow 29 points per game, which is 115th. North Texas averages 405.5 total yards per game (238 passing and 167.5 rushing), while allowing 333 total yards per game (116 rushing and 217 passing).
Tayven Jackson leads North Texas with 425 passing yards with 68.5% completed passes and 2 touchdowns. Jahiem White leads the team in rushing yards with 185, while Corri Milliner has a team-high 7 receptions for 131 receiving yards. Defensively, CJ Coombes has a team-high 17 total tackles (6 of them solo), while David Onuoha leads the team with 1.5 sacks.
In this North Texas vs Texas State Prediction, Texas State is coming as -3.5 home favorites. Both teams are coming off opposite outcomes in their previous games and Texas State has been winless this season, having failed to cover the spread in both of its games and losing by an average of 28.5 points. They also have the third-worst defense in the entire country, so it’s hard to back them up, even as slight home favorites. North Texas is a perfect 2-0 ATS this season and I will grab the +3.5 points with them today.