Missouri State Bears (1-2) vs. SMU Mustangs (2-1) September 26, 2026 9:00 pm EDT The Line: SMU Mustangs -34.5 / Missouri State Bears +34.5; Over/Under: 59.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The Missouri State Bears and the SMU Mustangs meet in week 4 college football action from Gerald J. Ford Stadium on Saturday. We will look at this from a betting perspective and determine the best bets for this game. Here’s a Missouri State Bears vs. SMU Mustangs Prediction.
The Missouri State Bears come into this game looking to rebound from a 30-24 loss at the hands of Marshall last time out to sit at 1-2 this season. After this game, Missouri State will head home for a game against Delaware.
Skyler Locklear has thrown for 597 yards, 3 touchdowns and 1 interception on 67.7% passing while Ramone Green Jr. leads Missouri State in rushing with 159 rushing yards and 2 touchdowns so far this season. Breezy Dubar sits behind Green Jr. on the ground with 118 yards and 2 TDs. Isaiah Myers leads the Bears in receiving with 296 yards on 12 catches along with 1 touchdown, while Jmariyae Robinson trails with 93 yards on 12 catches. On defense, Jared Lloyd has a team-high 32 total tackles and leads the team with 1 sack, while Jashawn Cooper recorded 1 interception. Missouri State’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
The SMU Mustangs come into this game looking to bounce back from their 41-31 loss at the hands of Louisville last time out to sit at 2-1 this season. After this game, SMU will take on Boston College in a matchup at home.
Kevin Jennings has thrown for 989 yards, 9 touchdowns and 4 interceptions on 73.6% passing while Kendrick Raphael leads SMU in rushing with 275 rushing yards and 4 touchdowns so far this season. Dramekco Green sits behind Raphael on the ground with 85 yards and 0 TDs. Yamarion Smith leads the Mustangs in receiving with 201 yards on 9 catches, while Yamir Knight trails with 181 yards on 16 catches along with 1 touchdown. On defense, Tyson Polley Jr. has a team-high 18 total tackles, while Jimmy Wyrick leads the team with 2 sacks, and Jarvis Lee recorded 1 interception. SMU’s defense as a whole has combined for 5 sacks and 1 interception so far this season.
I’m on the Mustangs in this one. It’s a big number here, but the problem I have is that Missouri State didn’t show up in their lone major step up spot against Texas A&M and this feels like a name your number spot for SMU. The Bears gave up big numbers to Texas A&M This year and USC last season and I think this is a rout. Give me SMU.