San Diego State Aztecs (1-2) vs. Toledo Rockets (2-1) September 26, 2026 12:00 pm EDT The Line: Toledo Rockets -2.5 / San Diego State Aztecs 2.5; Over/Under: 51.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego State Aztecs and Toledo Rockets meet Saturday in week 4 college football action at the Glass Bowl. Here’s a Toledo vs. San Diego State Prediction. This article will include a Toledo vs. San Diego State Pick.
The San Diego State Aztecs lost to UCLA and James Madison, and they play Texas State next. San Diego State has lost 4 of its last 5 games. Jayden Denegal is completing 53.7 percent of his passes for 391 yards, 4 touchdowns, and 4 interceptions. Nathan Acevedo and Javion Kinnard have combined for 200 receiving yards and 2 touchdowns, while Bert Emanuel Jr. has 5 receptions.
The San Diego State Aztecs’ ground game is averaging 191 yards per contest, and Javion Kinnard leads the way with 308 yards and 1 touchdown. Defensively, San Diego State is allowing 24.7 points and 385.7 yards per game. Sione Hala leads the San Diego State Aztecs with 31 tackles, Djibril Rahman has 2 sacks, and Mike Lindsay has 2 interceptions.
The Toledo Rockets beat Central Connecticut and Temple, and they play Ball State next. The Toledo Rockets have won 6 of their last 8 games. John Alan Richter is completing 65.6 percent of his passes for 877 yards, 9 touchdowns, and 1 interception. Adjatay Dabbs and Rico Bond have combined for 392 receiving yards and 4 touchdowns, while Bryson Hammer has 9 receptions.
The Toledo Rockets’ ground game is averaging 146.7 yards per contest, and Connor Walendzak leads the way with 172 yards and 4 touchdowns. Defensively, Toledo is allowing 29.3 points and 320.3 yards per game. Julian Fox leads the Toledo Rockets with 27 tackles, Caden Camese has 1 sack, and Isaac Zay has 1 interception.
San Diego State is 0-3 ATS on the season and is coming off a bad home loss to James Madison. Toledo has done a fine job of beating up on the teams its suppsoed to beat and has covered 7 of its last 10 games overall. Toledo can be hit or miss defensively, but its high-powered offense should give San Diego State fits, especially with the Aztecs’ inability to stop the run. It feels like SDSU has taken a step back this year as the toughness in the trenches is gone. I’ll lay the small number with Toledo at home.