San Diego Padres (43-44) vs. LA Dodgers (58-31) July 4, 2026 10:10 pm EDT The Line: LA Dodgers -252 / San Diego Padres 203; Over/Under: 8.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The San Diego Padres and Los Angeles Dodgers meet Saturday in MLB action at Dodger Stadium. Here’s a Dodgers vs Padres Prediction. This article will include a Dodgers vs Padres Pick.
The San Diego Padres are 43-44 on the year and play the Diamondbacks and Blue Jays next. The San Diego Padres are batting. 225 on the season, have a .301 OBP, and have a .375 slugging percentage. The San Diego Padres’ pitching staff has a 4.25 ERA and a 1.35 WHIP. Fernando Tatis Jr. leads the San Diego Padres with 93 hits and 33 RBI, while Jackson Merrill and Xander Bogaerts have combined for 137 hits and 66 RBI.
Griffin Canning gets the ball for the San Diego Padres, and he is 1-5 with a 7.09 ERA and 46 strikeouts this season. Canning is 3-1 with a 3.89 ERA and 29 strikeouts in his career against the Los Angeles Dodgers.
The Los Angeles Dodgers are 58-31 on the year and play the Rockies and Diamondbacks next. The Los Angeles Dodgers are batting .266 on the season and have a .349 OBP and a .444 slugging percentage. The Los Angeles Dodgers’ pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and a 1.13 WHIP. Freddie Freeman leads the Los Angeles Dodgers with 95 hits and 47 RBI, while Andy Pages and Shohei Ohtani have combined for 181 hits and 112 RBI.
Yoshinobu Yamamoto gets the ball for the Los Angeles Dodgers, and he is 8-5 with a 2.67 ERA and 90 strikeouts this season. Yamamoto is 2-3 with a 4.60 ERA and 31 strikeouts in his career against the San Diego Padres.
As I’ve said many times before, I’m always looking for a chance to fade the Dodgers and these inflated prices. The problem is Canning has a 7.09 ERA and 1.66 WHIP. Canning has allowed 22 hits and 15 runs in his last 19.1 innings. In 20.1 innings on the road, Canning has an 8.41 ERA and a .325 allowed batting average. Those numbers are ugly going into a game against the red-hot Dodgers. Yamamoto has allowed just 7 runs in his last 33.2 innings, and he has a 2.67 ERA and 0.89 WHIP on the season. I’m rolling with the Dodgers again, and I’ll lay the RL to shave down the juice.