Tampa Bay Rays (25-13) vs. Boston Red Sox (17-22) May 10, 2026 1:35 pm EDT The Line: Boston Red Sox -126 / Tampa Bay Rays 104; Over/Under: 7.5 (Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Rays vs Red Sox Prediction for this MLB matchup on Sunday, May 10 th in the second game of this series. Let’s take a look at the prediction for this MLB matchup.
The Boston Red Sox have a 17-22 record this season and are sitting in the fourth place of the AL East. They have a 7-11 home record and are coming off a 2-0 win at home against the Rays. They will face the Phillies and the Braves next.
The Red Sox have a .234 batting average this season, .314 OBP and .353 Slugging percentage. Boston’s pitching staff has a 4.00 ERA and 1.30 WHIP. Wilyer Abreu is the team’s best hitter with a .303 batting average. Willson Contreras leads the team in RBI with 23, also adding a team‑high 8 home runs.
Payton Tolle (L) is the projected starting pitcher for the Red Sox, and he has a 1-1 record, 2.04 ERA and 0.74 WHIP.
The Tampa Bay Rays have a 25-13 record this season and are sitting in the second place of the AL East. They have a 11-9 away record and are coming off a 0-2 loss on the road against the Red Sox. They will face the Blue Jays and the Marlins next.
The Rays have a .254 batting average this season, .327 OBP and .373 Slugging percentage. Tampa Bay’s pitching staff has a 3.51 ERA and 1.17 WHIP. Yandy Diaz is the team’s best hitter with a .316 batting average. Jonathan Aranda leads the team in RBI with 29, and Junior Caminero adds a team‑high 10 home runs.
Nick Martinez (R) is the projected starting pitcher for the Rays, and he has a 3-1 record, 1.71 ERA and 1.02 WHIP.
The Red Sox are 8-2 in their last 10 meetings against the Rays and are 6-1 in their last 7 meetings in Boston.
In this Rays vs Red Sox Prediction, the Red Sox are coming as -150 home favorites. Boston won a low-scoring affair yesterday and now we have a pitching duel as Payton Tolle goes up against Nick Martinez and both pitchers have a combined 3.75 ERA. Yesterday’s game had just two total runs and both teams are weaker against the opposing starter throw hand with just 7.6 runs/9 combined. The Rays’ bullpen has been one of the best in baseball lately, while the Red Sox are 8 th in bullpen ERA this season, so I expect a low-scoring affair. Take the under 7.5 runs.