San Antonio Spurs (62-20) vs. Oklahoma City Thunder (64-18) May 30, 2026 8:00 pm EDT The Line: Oklahoma City Thunder -3.5; Over/Under: 212.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Oklahoma City Thunder meet Saturday in NBA Game 7 at the Paycom Center. Here’s a Thunder vs Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Thunder vs Spurs Pick.
The San Antonio Spurs are a win away from their first finals trip since the 2013-14 season. The Spurs have won 46 of their last 60 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 115.6 points on 46.9 percent shooting and allowing 105.1 points on 41.1 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 23.3 points and 11 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 19.4 points and 6.7 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing out 2.6 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 36.1 percent from beyond the arc and 80.4 percent from the free-throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 32.8 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.7 rebounds per game.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are a win away from back-to-back finals appearances. The Thunder have won 18 of their last 23 games.
The Oklahoma City Thunder are averaging 116.4 points on 47.2 percent shooting and allowing 108.2 points on 44.6 percent shooting. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is averaging 27.1 points and 7.9 assists, while Chet Holmgren is averaging 15.7 points and 8.5 rebounds. Ajay Mitchell is the third double-digit scorer, and Jalen Williams is grabbing 3.2 rebounds. The Oklahoma City Thunder are shooting 36.6 percent from beyond the arc and 85.4 percent from the free-throw line. The Oklahoma City Thunder are allowing 34.4 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 42 rebounds per game.
The Thunder will be without Thomas Sober due to an ACL injury. Ajay Mitchell is out with a soleus strain. Jalen Williams is out with a hamstring strain.
The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Thunder will be favored because they’re at home and historically home teams own game 7s in the NBA. That hasn’t been as much the case lately, but still. The Thunder also haven’t lost back-to-back playoff games dating back to last season’s title run. The last time OKC lost two straight in the playoffs was when they lost to the Mavs in the conference finals in 2024.
With all of that said, those who have followed me all year know where I’m going with this spot. It’s Spurs for me. I’ve been on the Spurs in every game this series and pegged them to win the title since December. I’ll continue to say it: the Spurs are the one team in the league that doesn’t fear the Thunder and has had consistent success against them. OKC is also still undermanned with all of their questionable guys already being ruled out, and SGA looked gassed at times in Game 6 as he keeps getting blitzed with multiple defenders.
As long as the Spurs can survive when Wemby isn’t on the floor, they should win. Give me the points and the ML.