San Antonio Spurs (62-20) vs. Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) May 10, 2026 7:30 pm EDT The Line: Minnesota Timberwolves +4.5; Over/Under: 218.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The San Antonio Spurs and Minnesota Timberwolves meet Sunday in NBA Game 4 at the Target Center. Here’s a Timberwolves vs. Spurs Prediction. This article will include a Timberwolves vs. Spurs Pick.
The San Antonio Spurs look for their fourth road playoff win to take a 3-1 series lead. The Spurs have won 41 of their last 51 games.
The San Antonio Spurs are averaging 114 points on 47.9 percent shooting and allowing 100.9 points on 40.6 percent shooting. Victor Wembanyama is averaging 21.9 points and 11.4 rebounds, while Stephon Castle is averaging 18.8 points and 6.4 assists. De’Aaron Fox is the third double-digit scorer, and Devin Vassell is dishing 2.8 assists. The San Antonio Spurs are shooting 39.1 percent from beyond the arc and 77.1 percent from the free throw line. The San Antonio Spurs are allowing 31.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 46.5 rebounds per game.
The Minnesota Timberwolves need a win to even up this series and have a legit chance to advance. The Timberwolves have won 8 of their last 13 games.
The Minnesota Timberwolves are averaging 108.8 points on 4.9 percent shooting and allowing 110.6 points on 44.8 percent shooting. Anthony Edwards is averaging 19.4 points and 6.7 rebounds, while Julius Randle is averaging 17.8 points and 3.2 assists. Ayo Dosunmu is the third double-digit scorer, and Jaden McDaniels is grabbing 6.2 rebounds. The Minnesota Timberwolves are shooting 33.9 percent from beyond the arc and 72.2 percent from the free-throw line. The Minnesota Timberwolves are allowing 32.6 percent shooting from deep and are grabbing 47.3 rebounds per game.
The Timberwolves will be without Donte DiVincenzo.
The Spurs don’t have any players listed on their injury report.
The Timberwolves and the points remain attractive because we know what they’re capable of and they’ve still won 6 of the last 9 games against the Spurs. Still, the Spurs are the better healtheir team and I can’t turn a reasonable line. The Timberwolves are banged up and playing every other day doesn’t help. The Spurs have also flexed their defensive muscle over the last two games and are starting to frustrate the Timberwolves. I’d simply need more points to give the Timberwolves a fair look in this spot.