Tampa Bay Lightning (48-25-6) vs. Boston Bruins (43-26-10) April 11, 2026 12:30 pm EDT The Line: Boston Bruins 105 / Tampa Bay Lightning -125; Over/Under: 6.5 (Get latest betting odds)
The Tampa Bay Lightning and Boston Bruins meet Saturday in NHL action at the TD Garden. Here’s a Bruins vs. Lightning Prediction. This article will include a Bruins vs. Lightning Pick.
The Tampa Bay Lightning lost to the Senators and Habs and play the Red Wings next. The Lightning have lost 3 straight games.
The Tampa Bay Lightning are averaging 3.52 goals per game and are scoring on 21.2 percent of their power-play opportunities. Nikita Kucherov leads Tampa Bay with 43 goals, Jake Guentzel has 49 assists, and Darren Raddysh has 207 shots on goal. Defensively, the Tampa Bay Lightning are allowing 2.8 goals per game and are killing 82.5 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Andrei Vasilevskiy has allowed 128 goals on 1,432 shots faced, while Jonas Johansson has given up 78 goals on 670 shots.
The Boston Bruins lost to the Flyers and Hurricanes, and they play the Blue Jackets next. The Bruins have lost 4 straight games.
The Boston Bruins are averaging 3.29 goals per game and are scoring on 23.5 percent of their power play opportunities. Morgan Geekie leads Boston with 37 goals, David Pasternak has 70 assists and Viktor Arvidsson has 170 shots on goal. Defensively, the Boston Bruins are allowing 3.08 goals per game and are killing 76.6 percent of their opponent’s power plays. Jeremy Swayman has allowed 144 goals on 1,526 shots faced, while Joonas Korpisalo has given up 88 goals on 816 shots.
With the week the Bruins and Lightning are having, this feels like a battle of two playoff teams that are tired of the regular season and waiting for the fun stuff. The Lightning are probably the better side and they’ve won 4 straight against the Bruins, including a 3-1 victory last week.
However, this is an early start time, which usually favors the home team. Also, with both teams riding a losing streak, the home crowd could be the slight edge in terms of making a pick. The Bruins have been a completely different team on their home ice. You’re giving me the Bruins at home as a slight dog; I’ll take it.