Tampa Bay Lightning (43-21-4) vs. Calgary Flames (28-34-7) March 22, 2026 8:00 pm EDT The Line: Calgary Flames 145 / Tampa Bay Lightning -175; Over/Under: 6.5 (Get latest betting odds)
In this article, we will formulate a Lightning vs Flames Prediction for this NHL game on Sunday, March 22 nd . Let’s take a look at the prediction for this NHL matchup.
The Flames have 63 points this season with a 28-34-7 record, and are 36-33 ATS and 32-34 in over/under. They have a 18-12-4 home record and a 10-22-3 road record and are sitting 7th in the Pacific Division. They are coming off a 4-1 home win over the Panthers, and their previous three games were a 2-1 home shootout win over the Blues, a 5-2 road loss to the Red Wings, and a 3-2 road loss to the Islanders.
Offensively, the Flames are averaging 2.46 goals per game and are scoring 15.8% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 3.06 goals per game and are killing 81.0% of their opponent’s power plays.
Mikael Backlund leads the Flames with 38 points and 15 goals, adding a team-high 23 assists. Dustin Wolf is the starting goalie for the Flames, and he has a 19-25-3 record, with 2.98 GAA and .898 SV%. Devin Cooley is the backup goalie and he has a 8-9-4 record, with 2.47 GAA and .915 SV%.
The Lightning have 90 points this season with a 43-21-4 record, and are 37-31 ATS and 35-29 in over/under. They have a 20-12-0 home record and a 23-9-4 road record and are sitting 2nd in the Atlantic Division. They are coming off a 5-2 road win over the Oilers, and their previous three games were a 6-2 road win over the Canucks, a 6-2 road win over the Kraken, and a 4-2 home loss to the Hurricanes.
Offensively, the Lightning are averaging 3.59 goals per game and are scoring 22.1% of their power play opportunities. Defensively, they are allowing 2.74 goals per game and are killing 82.3% of their opponent’s power plays.
Nikita Kucherov leads the Lightning with 118 points and 40 goals, adding a team-high 78 assists. Andrei Vasilevskiy is the starting goalie for the Lightning, and he has a 33-12-3 record, with 2.29 GAA and .915 SV%. Jonas Johansson is the backup goalie and he has a 10-9-1 record, with 3.23 GAA and .884 SV%.
The Lightning won their previous meeting against the Flames this season by 5-1 at home but both teams are tied 4-4 in their last 8 meetings.
In this Lightning vs Flames Prediction, the Lightning are coming as -180 road favorites. The Flames have nothing to play for and the Lightning are on the second leg of a road back-to-back and will be playing their third road game in four nights. They are a perfect 3-0 in this road trip, outscoring their opponents by 17-6 goals and I cannot see them stopping here against a bad Flames team. Take the Lightning on the moneyline in this one.